This conversation will explore the motivations behind nuclear proliferation and the enduring debate over deterrence: whether nuclear weapons prevent major wars, or instead increase the risk of escalation, miscalculation and instability.
Are Nuclear Weapons a Force for Peace?
Why do states pursue nuclear weapons, and do these weapons ultimately promote peace? Since the nuclear revolution of 1945, the landscape of international security has been fundamentally transformed. During the Cold War, nuclear weapons stood at the center of global politics, shaping strategic doctrines, alliances, and rivalries. Yet their significance has not diminished in the post-Cold War era. Instead, nuclear politics has evolved in ways that continue to challenge established assumptions about deterrence and stability.
In recent decades, new states have joined the nuclear club, while others have seriously contemplated acquiring nuclear capabilities. At the same time, the number of nuclear latent states, those with the technological capacity to develop nuclear weapons, has grown substantially. These trends raise a critical question: why do states pursue nuclear weapons despite the immense financial costs, technical challenges, and intense international scrutiny they face?
This session examines the strategic, political, and normative drivers behind nuclear proliferation. In doing so, it revisits a long-standing debate in security studies, namely whether nuclear weapons serve as a force for peace. While some argue that nuclear deterrence reduces the likelihood of major war, others highlight the risks of escalation, miscalculation, and regional instability.
By exploring both the motivations for nuclear acquisition and the consequences of nuclear possession, this talk asks whether a world with more nuclear-armed states is inherently more stable or more dangerous.
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